La Liga
La Liga fair odds. What the market really thinks each Spanish top-flight match is worth, margin removed.
Prices are re-checked about every 30 minutes while the market is open. All times shown in Israel time. Prices captured Tue 25 Aug, 15:30.
Biggest move since yesterday: Real Madrid – Real Sociedad (1) 1.42 → 1.38
| Kickoff | Match | 1 (Home) | X (Draw) | 2 (Away) | Total (O/U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 25 Aug, 22:00 | Valencia – Real Betis | 2.98(34%) | 3.40(29%) | 2.70(37%) | 2.5: 2.16 / 1.86 |
| Wed 26 Aug, 22:00 | Real Madrid – Real Sociedad | 1.38(72%)↘ 1.42 → 1.38 | 5.98(17%)↗ 5.63 → 5.98 | 9.09(11%)↗ 8.34 → 9.09 | 3.5: 2.20 / 1.84 |
| Thu 27 Aug, 21:30 | Celta Vigo – CA Osasuna | 2.07(48%) | 3.58(28%) | 4.22(24%)↗ 4.13 → 4.22 | 2.5: 2.24 / 1.80 |
| Thu 27 Aug, 22:00 | Barcelona – Athletic Bilbao | 1.38(72%)↘ 1.42 → 1.38 | 5.95(17%)↗ 5.67 → 5.95 | 9.21(11%)↗ 8.52 → 9.21 | 3.5: 2.20 / 1.84 |
| Fri 28 Aug, 20:00 | Real Racing Club de Santander – Elche CF | 2.29(44%) | 3.65(27%) | 3.47(29%) | 2.5: 1.88 / 2.13 |
| Fri 28 Aug, 22:30 | Alavés – Villarreal | 3.20(31%) | 3.67(27%) | 2.41(41%) | 2.5: 1.92 / 2.08 |
| Sat 29 Aug, 18:00 | Levante – Real Betis | 3.42(29%) | 3.55(28%) | 2.34(43%) | 2.5: 2.05 / 1.95 |
| Sat 29 Aug, 20:00 | Real Sociedad – Espanyol | 1.99(50%) | 3.82(26%) | 4.26(23%) | 2.5: 1.93 / 2.08 |
| Sat 29 Aug, 22:30 | Sevilla – Atlético Madrid | 3.76(27%) | 3.64(27%) | 2.18(46%) | 2.5: 2.03 / 1.97 |
| Sun 30 Aug, 18:00 | Real Madrid – Málaga | 1.23(81%) | 8.28(12%) | 14.85(7%) | 3.5: 2.01 / 1.99 |
| Sun 30 Aug, 20:30 | Deportivo La Coruña – Valencia | 2.70(37%) | 3.28(30%) | 3.08(33%) | 2.5: 2.44 / 1.70 |
| Sun 30 Aug, 22:30 | Celta Vigo – Athletic Bilbao | 2.51(40%) | 3.45(29%) | 3.21(31%) | 2.5: 2.19 / 1.84 |
| Mon 31 Aug, 20:30 | CA Osasuna – Getafe | 2.24(45%) | 3.35(30%) | 3.92(26%) | 1.5: 1.59 / 2.69 |
| Mon 31 Aug, 22:30 | Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano | 1.29(77%) | 6.95(14%) | 12.31(8%) | 3.5: 2.14 / 1.88 |
Small arrows mark fair prices that moved since the previous day’s capture.
What is a fair price?
Every bookmaker price contains a built-in margin. We take the prices quoted by multiple European bookmakers for the same market, remove each book’s margin (“devigging”), and average the result (that consensus is the market’s honest estimate of the probability. A market needs at least 3 complete books to get a fair price; anything thinner shows a gap, never a guess. Totals are shown at the line most books agree on), prices at other lines are not comparable and we won’t approximate them.
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