La Liga
La Liga fair odds. What the market really thinks each Spanish top-flight match is worth, margin removed.
Prices are re-checked about every 30 minutes while the market is open. All times shown in Israel time. Prices captured Thu 20 Aug, 02:30.
Biggest move since yesterday: Valencia – Celta Vigo (1) 2.37 → 2.44
| Kickoff | Match | 1 (Home) | X (Draw) | 2 (Away) | Total (O/U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 20 Aug, 22:00 | Rayo Vallecano – Alavés | 2.38(42%) | 3.18(31%) | 3.77(27%) | 1.5: 1.63 / 2.58 |
| Fri 21 Aug, 22:00 | Real Betis – Real Sociedad | 2.17(46%) | 3.59(28%) | 3.84(26%) | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.91 |
| Sat 22 Aug, 18:00 | Athletic Bilbao – Sevilla | 1.81(55%) | 3.83(26%) | 5.38(19%) | 2.5: 2.31 / 1.76 |
| Sat 22 Aug, 20:30 | Valencia – Celta Vigo | 2.44(41%)↗ 2.37 → 2.44 | 3.39(29%) | 3.39(29%)↘ 3.49 → 3.39 | 2.5: 2.35 / 1.74 |
| Sat 22 Aug, 22:30 | Espanyol – Real Madrid | 7.46(13%) | 4.75(21%) | 1.52(66%) | 2.5: 1.80 / 2.25 |
| Sun 23 Aug, 18:00 | Atlético Madrid – Villarreal | 1.97(51%) | 3.87(26%) | 4.28(23%) | 2.5: 1.93 / 2.07 |
| Sun 23 Aug, 20:30 | Getafe – Real Racing Club de Santander | 2.27(44%)↗ 2.23 → 2.27 | 3.10(32%) | 4.24(24%) | 1.5: 1.68 / 2.47 |
| Sun 23 Aug, 22:30 | Elche CF – Barcelona | 8.84(11%) | 5.90(17%) | 1.39(72%) | 3.5: 2.29 / 1.78 |
| Mon 24 Aug, 20:30 | CA Osasuna – Levante | 1.92(52%) | 3.79(26%) | 4.61(22%) | 2.5: 2.10 / 1.91 |
| Mon 24 Aug, 22:30 | Málaga – Deportivo La Coruña | 2.73(37%) | 3.21(31%) | 3.10(32%) | 2.5: 2.70 / 1.59 |
| Tue 25 Aug, 22:00 | Valencia – Real Betis | 2.81(36%) | 3.42(29%) | 2.84(35%) | 2.5: 2.09 / 1.92 |
| Wed 26 Aug, 22:00 | Real Madrid – Real Sociedad | 1.46(68%) | 5.38(19%) | 7.69(13%) | 3.5: 2.42 / 1.70 |
Small arrows mark fair prices that moved since the previous day’s capture.
What is a fair price?
Every bookmaker price contains a built-in margin. We take the prices quoted by multiple European bookmakers for the same market, remove each book’s margin (“devigging”), and average the result (that consensus is the market’s honest estimate of the probability. A market needs at least 3 complete books to get a fair price; anything thinner shows a gap, never a guess. Totals are shown at the line most books agree on), prices at other lines are not comparable and we won’t approximate them.
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